The improbability principle : why coincidences, miracles, and rare events happen every day
Title:
The improbability principle : why coincidences, miracles, and rare events happen every day
Author:
Hand, D. J. (David J.), 1950-
ISBN:
9780374175344
Personal Author:
Edition:
First edition.
Physical Description:
xii, 269 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
Contents:
The mystery -- A capricious universe -- What is chance? -- The law of inevitability -- The law of truly large numbers -- The law of selection -- The law of the probability lever -- The law of near enough -- The human mind -- Life, the universe, and everything -- How to use the improbability principle -- Mind-numbingly large and mind-bogglingly small -- Rules of chance.
Abstract:
"An eye-opening and engrossing look at rare moments, why they occur, and how they shape our world In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand unveils his groundbreaking argument that extraordinarily rare events are in fact commonplace. Weaving together fascinating new ways to think about chance, Hand highlights his "law of near enough," the "look elsewhere effect," and more, doing for probability what Newton's laws of motion did for mechanics. Through humorous and engaging tales of two-time lottery winners, gambling gone wrong, and bizarre coincidences that we can't quite fathom, Hand argues that extremely unlikely events must happen, and no mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why. Hand's investigation, grounded in statistics and brought to life with fascinating anecdotes, finally explains "unexplainable" events such as unexpectedly bumping into a friend in a foreign country and coming across an unfamiliar word twice in one day. Along the way, we learn what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, just how to win the lottery, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) more than once. As Hand makes clear, we can rest assured that we'll experience a "miracle" roughly once per month. An irresistible adventure into the laws behind chance moments, The Improbability Principle transforms how we think about business decisions, everyday encounters, serendipity, and luck"-- Provided by publisher.
"An eye-opening and engrossing look at rare moments, why they occur, and how they shape our world"-- Provided by publisher.
Electronic Access:
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